Water Math Fire Drill

The feds may cut Colorado River deliveries by up to 40%, because apparently the Southwest budgeted water like vibes were a reservoir

Reuters says a federal Colorado River proposal could slash current supplies to Arizona, California and Nevada by up to 3 million acre-feet a year.

What Happened

Reuters reported Friday that the U.S. government has proposed a new Colorado River water-sharing plan that could cut current supplies to Arizona, California and Nevada by up to 40%.

Tom Buschatzke, director of the Arizona Department of Water Resources, said the Bureau of Reclamation plan could require lower-basin states to reduce water use by up to 3 million acre-feet per year. Reuters noted that is enough water for roughly 6 million to 9 million households for a year.

The proposal comes as a 20-year-old management plan expires and the seven Colorado River states remain stuck. Reuters says the cuts would be reviewed every two years and are meant to stabilize Lake Mead and Lake Powell, the depleted reservoirs that keep making the phrase "water shortage" feel less like a forecast and more like a bill collector.

Why This Matters

The Colorado River supplies water across the American West. This is not some boutique stream with a branding problem. It supports farms, cities, power systems and tens of millions of people.

The Guardian reported that the river serves about 40 million people and has been hammered by overuse, groundwater loss and a record snow drought. So yes, the cuts sound extreme. The alternative is apparently continuing to negotiate with physics until physics stops taking meetings.

The Dumb Part With The Reservoir Vibes

The dumb part is not that the federal government is stepping in. At some point, someone has to look at a shrinking bathtub and stop arguing over who gets the rubber duck.

The dumb part is that the West has spent years treating a mega-drought like a scheduling conflict. States made offers, rejected burdens, invoked old priorities and generally behaved like paperwork can refill Lake Mead. Now the backup plan may be a giant federal spreadsheet with numbers big enough to make Arizona's water officials say words like "sobering."

The Bottom Line

Buschatzke warned that Arizona could face brutal consequences, including Central Arizona Project flows potentially going to zero under the worst version of the plan.

That is government nonsense with a dry mouth: decades of growth, law, politics and wishful thinking all arriving at the same tiny cup and discovering the cup has a hole in it.

Sources

Reuters: U.S. government planning dramatic Colorado River water cuts due to drought, overuse

The Guardian: U.S. plan for Colorado River could cut up to 40% supply for Arizona, California and Nevada


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